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Risque cyclonique : Deux systèmes dépressionnaires surveillés de près

Le risque d’activité cyclonique devient fort. La formation de cyclone dans le Nord-est de Madagascar est fort probable pour la journée de mercredi, selon le service de la météorologie d’Ampandrianomby. «Deux zones de cyclogenèses sont surveillées de près dans l’océan Indien. La première zone suspecte est localisée à 1.100 km d’Antsiranana, et la deuxième à 2.000 km de cette même localité. Pour le moment, il est encore difficile d’établir le scénario sur la trajectoire ainsi que le stade maximal que le ou les cyclones pourraient atteindre», selon le chef de service de la prévision météorologique d’Ampandrianomby, Solo Nomenjanahary Andrianjafinirina. Ce responsable a toutefois indiqué que les conditions océaniques et atmosphériques sont excellentes pour le développement de ces systèmes proches du pays. Malgré cette incertitude, la vigilance est toujours de mise, surtout pour la population dans le Nord, selon toujours le service de la météorologie.

Malgré l’incertitude qui plane sur la trajectoire du ou des cyclones, des précipitations abondantes comprises entre 150 à 300 mm seront enregistrées dans quelques localités du pays. Il en est ainsi à Analalava, Bealalana, Antsohihy, Befandriana Avaratra et Mandritsara où de fortes pluies seront constatées au cours de cette semaine. Concernant les températures, les maximales seront en hausse, variant entre 15° à 28° C sur les Hautes Terres, et entre 22° à 38°C sur les côtes. Pour Toliara, la température maximale se rapproche du seuil de la canicule qui est de 40°C, selon le prévisionniste Rivo Randrianarisoa. «Nous allons surveiller de près cette zone pendant trois jours consécutifs. Si cette température sera maintenue pendant ces trois jours, nous pouvons dire qu’il s’agit bien d’une canicule», a-t-il souligné.

Hanitra Rakotobe

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